Jay Clarke vs Francisco Rocha Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Jay Clarke has won 41.18% of points on his second serve in recent months, while Francisco Rocha has a slightly higher rate of 46.06%. Does this indicate a service edge for Rocha? Yes, as second serve success is closely linked to match outcomes.
• Return Game: Clarke has secured 46.59% of his opponent's second-serve points compared to Rocha's 45.55%. Who excels in returning first serves? Clarke does, with 29.79% against Rocha's 26.73%.
• Pressure Situations: When it comes to saving breakpoints, Rocha narrowly surpasses Clarke, saving 51.18% of them compared to Clarke's 49.05%. This statistic provides valuable insights for in-game predictions.
• Overall Win Rates: Over the past year, Clarke has a superior win record of 63.53% (54/31) in comparison to Rocha's 48.98% (24/25). Does this suggest an overall advantage for Clarke? Yes, significantly.
• Best Surface: Clarke boasts a strong clay performance with a 67% win rate, while Rocha performs best on hard courts with the same percentage. Notably, Rocha struggles on clay, achieving only a 42% win rate.
• Event Level: Clarke predominantly competes in Challengers/ITF tournaments, mirroring Rocha's frequency in Futures/Satellites events, both maintaining a 50% win rate.
• Opponent Quality: Clarke faces tougher competition, with opponents averaging a rank of 210.95 compared to Rocha's 402.02.
• Deciding Set Performance: In crucial deciding sets, Clarke wins 50% of the time, edging past Rocha's 46% success rate.

Editorial Prediction (November 4, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the current form, Clarke holds a slight advantage in both return game efficiency and overall match performance. While Rocha's second serve performance is better, Clarke's ability to capitalize on return points and his consistent achievement in higher-quality tournaments suggest his readiness for tough matches.

Despite Clarke's lower breakpoint saving rate, his strong record against higher-ranked opponents hints at a competitive edge. Conversely, Rocha faces challenges on clay, the same surface where Clarke thrives.

Considering these elements, Clarke demonstrates a steady potential to handle pressure and come out strong in deciding sets, contributing to our prediction. Taking into account all comparative insights, Jay Clarke is the likely victor in this upcoming matchup against Francisco Rocha.